Free Trial

USD/JPY Back Sub 157.00, Busy Data Day Headlined By Tokyo CPI, BoJ Bond Ops

JPY

USD/JPY reached lows just under 156.40 in offshore Thursday trade. We sit slightly higher in early Friday dealings (last 156.75/80), after posting a 0.50% gain for Thursday's session. Yen was the third best performer in the G10 space for the session (behind CHF and SEK). The BBDXY fell 0.23%, amid broad USD weakness, as US yields fell from recent highs.

  • Slightly weaker US data in terms of initial jobless claims and softer detail in Q1 GDP revisions, weighed on US yields (benchmark Tsys off 5-7bps). Some Fed speak from Bostic also lent dovish.
  • This backdrop, coupled with further weakness in US equities, helped drive USD/JPY lower. Also, as a reminder, Credit Agricole see equity market moves as suggesting month-end portfolio-rebalancing flows are likely to be moderate USD selling across the board, with the strongest sell signal in the case of USD/JPY.
  • Little has changed from a broader technical backdrop standpoint though. Recently, resistance at 156.74, the May 14 high and 157.00, 61.8% of the Apr 29 - May 3 sell-off, has been breached. A continuation higher would open 157.99, the May 1 high. For bears, a stronger reversal would again refocus attention on 154.39, the 50-day EMA, and 153.45, trendline support drawn from the Dec 28 low.
  • Today's data calendar is busy, with April job less figures, along with May Tokyo CPI. The market expects CPI to recover from the April dip (headline to 2.2% y/y, from 1.8%). Also out is IP, retail sales and later on housing starts. Note as well BoJ bond buying ops are on tap.
  • In the option expiry space note the following for NY cut later: Y155.00($584mln), Y156.00-05($613mln), Y156.75-80($750mln), Y157.00-10($850mln), Y158.00($891mln).

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.