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DOLLAR-YEN
DOLLAR-YEN: USD/JPY last seen at Y108.60, almost unch. No reaction so far to a
slight miss in headline CPI accompanied by an in-line core CPI reading. The
readings were for Oct, when Japan implemented its sales tax hike.
- The pair finished little changed Thursday, oscillating on the back of trade
war headlines. It lost ground from the off as U.S. House of Representatives
passed the contentious Hong Kong bill amid talk of U.S. Pres Trump planning to
sign it. However, a BBG report suggesting that Chinese VP Liu is "cautiously
optimistic" about phase-one trade deal put a fresh bid into the pair. Duelling
headlines drove subsequent (range-bound) price action, with USD/JPY finishing
virtually unchanged.
- The 50-DMA at Y108.30 provides the initial bearish target after it limited
losses on Thursday. A break here would open the Nov 1 low of Y107.89. Meanwhile,
a rally above the 200-DMA at Y108.96 would expose the Nov 18 peak at Y109.07.
- Flash Japanese Jibun Bank PMIs are due later today. On next week's docket we
have retail sales (Thursday) Tokyo CPI, unemployment and flash industrial output
(Friday). BoJ's Sakurai will speak on Wednesday.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3806 | krzysztof.kruk@marketnews.com