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Free AccessUSD/JPY's Decline Halted By Firmer US Data/Higher US TSY Yields
USD/JPY sunk to 146.66 post the Asia close on Wednesday. A stronger local yield backdrop into yesterday's close, as markets reassess the timing around the BoJ shift from negative rates, coupled with broadly weaker USD sentiment, drove the move.
- We recovered ground through US trade, as better data drove higher US Tsy yields. The pair tracks around 147.55 in early Thursday trade, still +0.50% firmer in yen terms.
- In terms of downside levels in USD/JPY, key short-term support has been defined at 144.36, the Jan 12 low and clearance of this level would be required to signal a top. The Jan 19 high at 148.80 is defined as topside resistance.
- Focus today will be on local fixed income, although early trends are likely to reflect catch up with US moves to a degree. Headlines also crossed late yesterday around local unions calling for wage hikes this year (see this BBG link).
- The local data calendar has weekly investment flow data, along with department store sales and machine tool orders.
- In the FX option expiry space note the following for NY cut later: Y146.50-60($570mln), Y147.55-65 ($617mln).
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.