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USD/JPY Tests Initial Support

JPY

USD/JPY prints a fresh session low of Y149.61 in early London trade, before a move back to Y149.75. some light selling in global bonds limits the JPY.

  • JPY tops the G10 FX performance table.
  • Our technical analyst believes that the trend outlook remains bullish and today’s sell-off - for now - appears to be a correction.
  • Recent price action seems to represent a bull flag formation.
  • The ’24 high (Y150.89) presents initial resistance.
  • Initial support at the 20-day EMA (Y149.63) was tested. A clean break would expose the 50-day EMA (Y148.21).
  • Tokyo hours saw the JPY rally on the back of some hawkish comments from BoJ’s Takata, who pointed to the Bank’s inflation target being within sight.
  • Takata’s pushback against the idea of a brisk start to the tightening cycle then limited the yen’s advance.
  • Desks suggested that Tokyo JPY interbank volumes were two times the recent norms on the back of Takata’s comments, while broader FX activity was comfortably below par.
  • Friday’s Japanese data releases aren’t usually market movers.
  • That will leave focus on yield differentials and European/NY digestion of Takata’s remarks.

Fig.1: USD/JPY

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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