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USD/KRW Maintains Recent Ranges, Equity Inflow Momentum Close To Recent Highs

KRW

1 month USD/KRW finished the NY session just under 1424. Resistance still appears ahead of the 1430 level, but more broadly the pair remains wedged between the 1410/1430 levels for now. Note onshore spot finished yesterday at 1423.95.

  • The lead for the Kospi is once again a negative one (MSCI IT -2.28% overnight), although the local bourse has outperformed global tech indices this past week. To recap the Kospi was down 0.33% yesterday.
  • Offshore investors continue to add to local shares though, with a further +$148.2mn in net inflows yesterday. Week to date flows are just over $1bn, while for the past month are just under $2.8bn, see the first chart below.
  • The better flow backdrop has been one factor that has helped stabilized won sentiment (KRW/USD 1 month changes is the other line on the chart), particularly amidst higher USD/CNH levels and a still hawkish Fed backdrop.

Fig 1: South Korean Net Equity Flows & KRW/USD Trends


Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg


  • It will be interesting to see if this type of flow momentum can be maintained and improve further. Towards the end of August, we ran out of momentum just above $3bn on a rolling monthly sum basis for net equity inflows.
  • South Korean net inflows do continue to outperform Taiwan though, see the second chart below. This gap has been evident for much of this year but has re-widened in recent weeks.

Fig 2: South Korean and Taiwan Equity Flow Trends (USDmn)

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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