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USD/PHP 1-Month NDF Edge Higher With Philippine Markets Closed For Holiday

PHP

USD/PHP 1-month NDF trades +0.150 at PHP58.180, hovering just above its 50-DMA, which came under pressure last Friday. Should that moving average (PHP58.034) give way, bears could target the 100-DMA at PHP56.787. Bulls look for a renewed rally towards record highs at PHP59.460.

  • Domestic markets are shut through Tuesday due to public holidays in the Philippines.
  • Local front pages have been dominated by reports surrounding tropical storm Paeng, which has claimed 98 lives and affected 1.8mn people across 17 regions so far.
  • Offshore players sold a net $0.716mn in Philippine stocks last Friday and the PSEi index snapped a four-day winning streak.
  • The BSP said it sees inflation reach a turning point at +7.1-7.9% Y/Y this month, before easing from there, as pressures from weather conditions and transport fare hikes will moderate.
  • September saw continued acceleration in bank lending growth. Outstanding loans net of RRPs rose 13.4% Y/Y in September versus +12.2% in August.
  • Later this week, focus will turn to CPI and trade balance, both due Friday.

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