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Free AccessUSD/PHP Breaks Above 50-DMA, Shows Little Reaction To GDP Data
Lingering risk aversion pushed spot USD/PHP above its 50-DMA in early Asia-Pac trade, while below-forecast Q4 GDP report has failed to provoke any meaningful reaction.
- Philippine GDP shrank 8.3% Y/Y in Q4 (vs. consensus exp. of 7.9% decline), while in the course of 2020 the economy contracted 9.5% Y/Y, in line with forecasts and marking the worst slump on record.
- Economic Planning Sec Chua attributed GDP contraction to the Covid-19 pandemic, but saw "green shoots of recovery". Chua noted that prospects for 2021 growth are encouraging and the economy could return to pre-pandemic levels by 2022.
- BSP Gov Diokno said that the central bank is looking into alternative data that could inform policymaking, such as mobility data and text analysis of social media posts (as a gauge of sentiment).
- The Philippines approved AstraZenaca's Covid-19 vaccine for emergency use, the jab is expected to be rolled out next quarter.
- USD/PHP last sits at PHP48.12, slightly higher on the day, in close proximity to Jan 11 high of PHP48.13. A clean breach of that level would open up the 100-DMA at PHP48.29. Bears need a pullback under the 50-DMA at PHP48.10 before targeting the key PHP48.00 mark.
- Focus moves to Markit M'fing PMI reading, due next Monday.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.