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Free AccessUSD/RUB Fails to Breach 74.00, Ukraine Talks Facing Headwinds
- USD/RUB opens higher in line with an early bid in the greenback and weakness in oil markets after a strong session yesterday.
- Energy analyst warns that the post-covid recovery is still uneven and a surge in cases in India is a timely reminder that any rally to $70 is premature and should only be seen in 3Q.
- However, sell-side forecasts (GS in particular) continue to be bullish on the commodity super cycle with +13% in upside seen over the next 6-months (Brent target $80).
- Ukraine tensions continue to simmer and see little progress towards peace agreements with Zelensky bucking the Minsk agreements.
- Health Officials warning against the risk of a third wave of infections is also something to consider, but will need to escalate further before harsher restrictions are brought in.
- Spot USD/RUB is trading marginally above the 100dma at 74.6996, but is capped by considerable resistance around the 75.00 handle.
- Intraday Sup1: 75.5421, Sup2: 74.3885, Res1: 74.8246, Res2: 74.9861
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.