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USD/RUB Hovers Around 74.00 as Markets Show Concern Over Weekly CPI

RUSSIA
  • USD/RUB trades +0.05% higher at the open, tracking weaker oil markets and a firmer BBDXY in early trading.
  • Oil markets eased during the Asia session as traders took profits on three successive sessions of firm gains.
  • Return of Pemex production is also responsible for a slight softening in oil markets with production expected to add an additional 110k bbl/day by the end of today.
  • Weekly CPI data surprised a fraction higher yesterday after a number of weeks of flat readings bringing a slight degree of uncertainty into expectations for a moderation in inflation.
  • 3x6 FRA spreads spiked overnight from +40bp to +50bp following the print, but RUB was little changed with most still expecting a +50bp move from the CBR at its next meeting.
  • USD/RUB closed a fraction below the 100dma yesterday, but jumped back above as price action remains caught between the falling 200dma and rising 50dma.
  • Sell side still like improving RUB fundamentals, and may look to fade bouts of RUB weakness towards the CBR.
  • Intraday Sup1: 74.9435, Sup2: 73.7458, Res1: 74.2011, Res2: 74.2486

  • 3x6 FRA-Mosprime Spreads Widen


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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