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USD/TRY Probes Resistance as Lira Pressures Build

TURKEY
  • USD/TRY trades -0.24% lower this morning, having made an early attempt to break the upper threshold of its lateral channel this morning.
  • Pressure is building in USD/TRY to move higher above 13.70 as deeply negative real yields, coupled with broad-based risk-off in global markets increase pressure on the lira.
  • Ukraine tensions remain the primary focus this week for global risk sentiment as Lavrov & Blinken speak towards the end of the week, followed by Biden-Putin talks.
  • Data-wise, seasonally adjusted 4Q GDP and trade balance data will be eyed locally, while the US delivers PMI and QoQ 4Q GDP figures.
  • A consolidated break through 13.721 should add momentum to a move back towards 13.9542 resistance, where analysts believe the CBRT and state banks will likely try to defend the level to keep TRY stable in line with Erdogan’s promises.
  • Intraday Sup1: 13.5823, Sup2: 13.5489, Res1: 13.6614, Res2: 13.7261

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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