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USD/ZAR popped higher early on, supported by...>

RAND
RAND: USD/ZAR popped higher early on, supported by modest risk aversion coupled
with concerns over the outlook for South Africa's sovereign debt. Over the
weekend, BBG cited a document presented by FinMin Tito Mboweni to lawmakers,
which notes that debt will top 100% of GDP in 2025 and reach nearly 114% by the
end of this decade. As a reminder, on Wednesday the gov't will unveil
supplementary budget to help fund a ZAR500bn stimulus package.
- The rate has ebbed off its earlier high and last deals at ZAR17.4220, about
900 pips better off. A convincing break above the 38.2% retracement of the Apr 6
- Jun 10 slide at ZAR17.4892 would shift focus to May 29 high of ZAR17.6649.
Bears look for a fall below the 100-DMA at ZAR17.1664, which has limited losses
recently, would expose the ZAR17.0000 mark.
- Looking ahead, South Africa's quarterly unemployment comes out on Tuesday,
while monthly CPI and retial sales are due Wednesday.

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