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USD/ZAR Retests Its 50dma as Risk-On Supports EM FX

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades -0.34% lower this morning, tracking early price action in the BBDXY.
  • The cross fell -1.56% yesterday on the back of improved global risk sentiment coming from the US equity market as investors dived back into tech stocks – bolstering demand for risk proxy currencies like ZAR.
  • Signs of a strong fiscal showing at the Feb budget should also lend support to ZAR in Feb, while terms of trade still remain at decent levels but just off last week’s highs.
  • Steps towards the spectrum auction on March represent a positive step, but question marks remain over Telkom’s bid to halt the process.
  • US ISM data will be the main international data point today ahead of NFPs on Friday, with markets expecting a slightly softer print at 57.5 vs 58.7 prior.
  • USD/ZAR pulled back from its 100dma (15.7153) and is currently holding below the 50dma (15.3789).
  • Intraday Sup1: 15.2660, Sup2: 15.2120, Res1: 15.4435, Res2: 15.5230
  • Citi SA Terms of Trade


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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