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Free AccessUSD/ZAR Rises as SARB Tilts Dovishly, 2022 CPI Forecasts reduced
- SARB sees s. 2021 gdp forecast unchanghed at 4.2%
- model sees repurchase rate at 3.79% by end of 2021
- sees CPI avg 4.3% in 2021 vs pvs est. of 4.2% CPI avg 4.2% in 2022, 4.5% in 2023
- sees repurchase rate at 6.12% by end of 2023 s
- sees core CPIavg 2.9% in 2021 vs pvs est. of 3% GDP growth at 2.3% in 2022, 2.4% in 2023
- SARBmodel assumes 2021 oil price of $66.7/bbl; pvs. $62.2
- assumes 10.6% electricity price change in 2021 central bank sees downside risks to gdp growth
- SARB says risk to s/t inflation outlook to upside sarb sees food, fuel, power as upside cpi risks
- decision unanimous
- SARB says anchored cpi could keep rates low for longer
- SARB says future policy decisions data-dependent
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.