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USDCAD Continues Recent Decline After Jobs Reports

CANADA
  • USDCAD has been steadily pushing lower since the joint employment reports, which included surprisingly resilient wage growth and no lift in the u/e rate albeit with latest jobs growth led by part-time positions.
  • Last touching a low of 1.345 as the S&P E-mini continues to firm, it has moved through closely packed support at 1.3485/1.3473 and next opens 1.3442 (61.8% retrace of Apr 14 – 28 rally) after which potentially lies a 1.33 handle.
  • It sees the pair build on recent downward pressure with Canadian banks generally holding up better than US banks, at least judging by share prices, under recent turmoil before some stabilisation today.
  • GoCs underperform Tsys on the day, modestly at 2YY (+11.5bps vs 10bps) and more so at 10YY (+11bps vs +6bps).


Source: Bloomberg

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