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USDCAD Ending Week Having Cleared Key Short-Term Resistance

CANADA
  • USDCAD sits +0.35% at 1.2994 with CAD seeing solid performance to relative other majors, both high growth beta and otherwise in a session that’s seen it twice failed to hold a breach of 1.30 for levels last seen in mid-July.
  • The cross is relatively unchanged over the US session, with oil unwinding an earlier fall but on the flip side the Can-US front-end yield differential being trimmed slightly to a still high +17bps compared to recent weeks, in turn offering some pushback to broad USD strength that sees the USD index on track to close at five-week highs.
  • Having earlier cleared key short-term resistance at 1.2985 (Aug 5 high), it opens 1.3025 (Jul 18 high) with 1.3135 (Jul 15 high) after that.
  • Ahead to next week, a light Canadian schedule sees US data a potential driver before Powell at Jackson Hole on Fri Aug 26 that will likely dominate risk sentiment.

USDCAD (white) and Can-US yield differential (blue)Source: Bloomberg

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