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USDZAR Pierces 50-Day EMA and Nov 10 Key Resistance

ZAR
USDZAR gains have exceeded 1% on the day as the most recent uptick in the greenback and pullback in both equities and gold following the US data bolsters upward momentum. The pair pierced the 50-day EMA at 18.7119 earlier in the session – an average which provided firm resistance earlier this month - and has now also breached key short-term resistance at 18.8057, the Nov 10 high. A more sustained break of this level could be a bullish short-term development and signal scope for a stronger recovery towards 19.2710, the Oct 26 high.
  • Domestically, Eskom matters remain a concern as the energy supplier was forced to ramp up loadshedding to Stage 4 until further notice. Meanwhile, parliament backed a resolution urging the government to sever diplomatic ties with Israel, which may act as another source of tension in relations with the US.
  • Though CPI data crossed above expectations, sell-side are not expecting this to have any material impact on tomorrow’s SARB rate decision (See more here). Our full preview of that decision can be found here.

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