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RBA: VIEW: ANZ "still think the RBA will not hike rates while housing prices are
falling. Although households and the economy more broadly have absorbed falling
housing prices quite well, we think the RBA will be cautious about adding to the
downside risks by tightening while housing prices are under a reasonable degree
of downward pressure. We see housing prices as entering a broadly stable pattern
by early 2020. As a result, we now expect that the RBA will hike rates in August
2020 as evidence accumulates that the downturn in housing is coming to an end.
Earlier is possible if house prices stabilise sooner than we expect."