Free Trial

VIEW: ANZ write "China's high frequency.......>

CHINA
CHINA: VIEW: ANZ write "China's high frequency economic indicators confirm that
growth is bottoming out. In particular, leading indicators such as money supply
data and the producer price index (PPI) inflation showed signs of acceleration
in March. With Q1 GDP registering 6.4%, we now revise our GDP forecast to 6.4%
for full-year 2019, from 6.3% previously. As the growth momentum of the Chinese
economy picks up, we believe that policymakers will re-assess the need for
further stimulus. The government will maintain a counter-cyclical stance, which
will primarily be expressed through measures that support structural
transformation. Thanks to the strong credit data in March, the People's Bank of
China (PBoC) appears to be more cautious about further easing. The policy stance
will likely place an emphasis on 'maintaining strategic patience' and 'alignment
with fiscal and other policies'. Consequently, the likelihood of a cut in the
reserve requirement ratio (RRR) in Q2 has decreased."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.