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VIEW: Friday saw Westpac recommend.....>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: VIEW: Friday saw Westpac recommend buying ACGB 3.25% 2039 &
selling a duration weighted amount of ACGB 2.50% 2030 at a spread of 60.5bp,
targeting 50bp, with a stop at 68bp. They would put 75% of total risk on the
trade, providing room to add if there are better levels provided by "the
inevitable global bearish corrective phases." They note that "Friday's
announcement by Treasury re: the JobKeeper is a significant change and, as a
result, we should expect a significant market re-evaluation of the AOFM's gross
issuance programme for 2020-21. We think that, over time, the broader
implication will be for the shape of the 10-30yr bond curve. We have chosen the
20yr part of the curve to execute this view, given it is typically more liquid.
While the AOFM has stated that it will issue a new 30-Year bond next fiscal
year, we expect that this re-calibration of supply expectations will limit the
need to issue size into this part of the term structure. Once a new 10yr yield
level has been established, we expect that yield enhancement flows and curve
relative value comparisons will eventually favour a flatter term structure
beyond that maturity."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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