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VIEW: Goldman Sachs note that "for some.......>

FOREX
FOREX: VIEW: Goldman Sachs note that "for some time now, the dovish inclinations
of the MNB have been one of the main reasons that we have preferred PLN and CZK
to HUF in the CEE region. More recently, the MNB's tightening of policy during
the coronacrisis, followed by personnel shifts in leadership, had suggested that
the leopard may have changed its spots. However, the surprise 15bp cut of last
week's meeting clearly signals a preference for dovish policy. The Forint
followed suit, weakening ~2% versus the Euro, while its regional peers have
traded relatively more resiliently last week. Given this-and even though further
easing is, to an extent, conditioned by Forint stability, as our economists have
highlighted-until we see tangible signs of a credible shift in policy, our rank
ordering within CE3 remains the same. Therefore, for investors looking to
express a positive view on the region, on the back of future European
outperformance, we reiterate our short USD/PLN recommendation."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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