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VIEW: Goldman Sachs note that "total...........>

STIR
STIR: VIEW: Goldman Sachs note that "total reserves in the Euro area increased
sharply this week following the settlement of the latest TLTRO loans. Excess
liquidity stands at just below EUR2.7tn. The two ESTR fixings since the increase
in reserves have been stable, little changed from the average June levels so
far. We had expected ESTR to remain broadly stable, acknowledging excess
liquidity may cause a drift lower in ESTR fixings-given the lack of movement so
far this may end up smaller than the 2-3bp we initially expected. Coupled with
the recent rally, risk-reward in EUR front-end rates is now more
balanced-although ongoing focus on the potential for negative rates in the UK
(and elsewhere) should also limit the extent of any sell off. We continue to
think received 6m6m EUR OIS is a good hedge for sovereign credit spread longs or
curve steepeners."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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