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VIEW: Thursday saw ANZ note that they....>

CHINA YUAN
CHINA YUAN: VIEW: Thursday saw ANZ note that they "expect the Chinese economy to
stay on a recovery path, coupled with a rebound in the yield spread of RMB over
USD as the Fed pursues aggressive easing. That said, we think geopolitics will
dominate economics. We see downside risk in RMB against USD. On CNH crosses, a
rebound in risk sentiment has boosted currencies in the crosses, in line with a
fall in the CFETS RMB index in April-May. Looking ahead, we are cautious. As
economic reality dawns, investor sentiment will likely weaken, reversing recent
gains of currencies in the crosses. On a relative basis, we expect CNH to trade
better, particularly against EUR, AUD and NZD. We also see modest upside in CNH
against GBP and JPY, while expecting broadly steady trading in CNH against its
regional peers (SGD and TWD)."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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