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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessVIEW: Tuesday saw Bank of America..........>
STERLING: VIEW: Tuesday saw Bank of America Research note "the breakdown in GBP
liquidity conditions since the Brexit referendum is an important anchor. Using
turnover statistics from the BIS Triennial Survey alone one would conclude that
the depth of the GBP market should have provided some cover against vol. This
has not been the case and, in our view, Brexit is likely to permanently alter
the way in which investors view GBP. The analysis of GBP cannot, therefore, be
undertaken within a traditional G10 FX framework. A more bespoke view of the
pound is required and one that would take an EM-esque view, particularly as the
UK's internal and external debt dynamics morph into comparisons with some of the
more developed EM nations. For us, the headwinds to GBP are gathering and this
is why we continue to believe traditional valuation metrics vastly over
exaggerate the degree of GBP undervaluation...In summary, we believe GBP is in
the process of evolving into a currency that resembles the underlying reality of
the British economy: small & shrinking with a growing dual deficit problem
similar to more liquid EMFX. We remain defensive on GBP but to avoid USD
exposure we believe investors should focus on a lower GBP vs. EUR, JPY & CHF."
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.