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VIEW: Tuesday saw Goldman Sachs note.......>

EQUITIES
EQUITIES: VIEW: Tuesday saw Goldman Sachs note that "generally, strong periods
of cyclical & value outperformance coincide with an inflection point in growth
momentum indicators. From this perspective, the recent experience has been
understandable. Econ data are starting to improve in places like China, and
April will likely mark the nadir in terms of global & European growth. More
recent data are consistent with a sizeable upturn in industrial activity in May.
However, as a result of this rebound in equity prices, valuations have reached
high levels again. Most equity markets now trade at 24-month forward P/E ratios
not seen since the lofty days of the late 90s. We see downside risks in the near
term, followed by modest returns in equities, albeit better than in most other
assets. In terms of style, it is understandable that a genuine inflection point
in the economy, from such a low base, would trigger a powerful rotation towards
cyclical, high beta & weaker balance sheet companies. But, unless the underlying
fundamentals of low nominal growth, bond yields & earnings change, or there is a
sig. challenge to the digital revolution, we would see such rotations as
tactical, or short-term, not secular."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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