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Vujcic Comments At MNI Event See Pricing Of Deeper ECB Rate Cuts

STIR

Rate cut-related comments from ECB Governing Council member Vujcic, who usually leans hawkish, has prompted a bid in core global FI markets and the Euribor strip, as well as receiver-side flows in ECB-dated OIS.

  • Vujcic, speaking at an MNI event, noted his preference for 25bp steps when the cutting cycle gets underway, although suggested that 50bp cuts cannot be excluded if warranted by data.
  • ECB-dated OIS contracts now price 143bps of rate cuts through 2024 (vs around 135bps immediately post-US CPI data and 138bps just before 1330GMT).
  • The bid in EGBs reverses losses made following the firmer-than-expected US CPI data, while the front-end of the Euribor strip sees contracts running 1.0-5.5bp firmer on the day.

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