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Westpac note that "AUD price action.....>

EURO-AUSSIE
EURO-AUSSIE: Westpac note that "AUD price action has been more constructive in
recent weeks, the Aussie showing resilience to global equity turbulence.
Moreover, multi-month highs for Australia's commodity export price basket - led
by iron ore and coal - implied less damage from trade wars than feared, at least
in the short term. Meanwhile, the euro was undermined in October by the selloff
in Italian bonds as the new government proposed a looser budget than the EC
demanded. In coming weeks, rather than Italy, the bigger question for EUR is
likely to be whether the Eurozone economic slowdown continues. Our Eurozone data
pulse is below 30% versus 52% over 2017, while Q3 GDP growth of 0.2% was the
weakest since 2014. This focus on Eurozone data into the Dec ECB meeting
contrasts to the RBA's plausible projection of Australian GDP growth remaining
above 3% into 2019. This should help AUD extend its recovery against the euro
multi-week to AUD/EUR 0.6325/50 or EUR/AUD 1.5750/1.5800."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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