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Westpac recommend buying USD/JPY at......>

DOLLAR-YEN
DOLLAR-YEN: Westpac recommend buying USD/JPY at Y109.15 with a target of Y111.85
and a stop at Y108.65. Westpac highlight the many risk events in play this week.
Going on to state that "USD/JPY is basing in a 109-110 range while US10yr yields
have stabilised in a rough 2.70-2.80% range. Despite obvious fragilities many of
the negatives on the economic data and earnings front have been well
telegraphed. China unlikely to yield to ambitious requests for a fundamental
rewiring of their econ & how they manage it but negotiators likely stress a
"constructive" & "hopeful" tone. FOMC likely to stress newfound patience &
flexibility too; guidance for "some further gradual increases" will be
scrutinised as will balance sheet plans. Fed off'ls seem to be weighing an
earlier than exp. end to the balance sheet run-off (the statement is devoid of
any references but officials have sounded open minded lately, walking back
Powell's "autopilot" signal from the Dec FOMC). Backlog of hard US activity data
and payrolls in coming days likely ignored given contamination from the partial
shutdown. If anything other key data such as Q4 employment cost index & January
average hourly earnings likely underscore tightening labour market conditions."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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