Free Trial

Westpac writes "the market followed....>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: Westpac writes "the market followed Q1 CPI with a strong bid tone.
We have been surprised by the strength but do point out that the delivery of a
near term rate cut would make them still appear "cheap", especially if the view
grows that the RBA will have to move the cash rate below 1%. So continue to buy
dips. We remain better tactical buyers on dips. US Q4 GDP confirms that US 10yr
yields should not move through 2.62-63% on any further bearish correction, which
will help define the entry level on 10yr Futures Price 98.19 u p tactical longs
in AU. Will the curve shift significantly in coming days? While a bear
steepener, led by the US is possible we think it would be only marginal given
that any bearish impulses could initially be felt across the term structure as a
result of valuation extremes. A bull flattener will be similarly affected. The
3-10yr futures spread is not expected to sustain any real steepening influence.
Fade offshore led steepeners above 50bp. It is too early for a shift steeper on
our RBA view. Following AU Q1 CPI, the AU-US 10yr bond spread reached a fresh
record inversion of -73bp."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.