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Williams and Bullard Push Back On 2023 Rate Cut Pricing

US EURODLR FUTURES
  • The Williams/Bullard combo helped Eurodollars continue to unwind the earlier rally, back little changed on the day. EDZ3 for example is 95.195 (-0.015) off US session highs of 95.245.
  • The comments don’t materially change the curve though, with almost 45bps of inversion through EDM3/Z3 and then EDZ3/Z4 only pulling back slightly off record lows of -1.235.
  • Bullard re-iterated the need for rates at the bottom end of a 5-7% rate range and that the FOMC Fed may have to keep rates higher through 2023 and into 2024.
  • Williams meanwhile can see a path to reducing nominal Fed rates in 2024, but prior to that expects the need to keep restrictive policy through 2023.

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