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Won Lagging Recent Better Equity Sentiment

KRW

1 month USD/KRW is around 0.2% sub NY closing levels. Dips below 1420 have been supported though, with the pair last close to 1421. Earlier moves towards 1430 were faded by the market. The won has lagged the improving equity market backdrop in recent weeks, see the chart below. Equities are weaker today though, albeit well away from worst levels at the start of the session. The Kospi is at 2322, -0.65% at this stage (early session lows were sub 2300). Offshore investors have net sold -$20.5mn of local equities so far today, but week to date inflows remain positive at $877mn.

  • Tensions with North Korea aren't impacting sentiment, despite a possible test launch of an ICBM by North Korea (although the South Korean military stated it was a likely failure).
  • The authorities have also stated they stand ready to stabilize markets if volatility surges (either from the North Korean situation or in the aftermath of the Fed outcome overnight).

Fig 1: USD/KRW & Kospi (inverted) Trends

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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