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Won Outperforming Weaker CNH Trend

KRW

After opening close to 1445, onshore USD/KRW has spent much of the rest of the session trending lower. We are now back to 1433, 0.45% firmer in won terms since yesterday's close, while the 1 month NDF is 0.80% higher since the NY close. Above 1445/50 seems somewhat of a resistance zone in the pair.

  • Today's resilience is also impressive in the context of on-going weakness in CNH. The chart below overlays USD/CNH spot against the 1 month USD/KRW NDF. Up until today the correlation between the two currencies has been fairly strong, particularly in recent weeks, but clearly the won has outperformed today.
  • Higher onshore equities are helping, although gains are modest +0.20%, but this compares with the Taeix, off 1.20%. So, divergence with Taiwan equities may be helping. Note USD/TWD has continued to push higher today, last at 32.32. The broader USD trend is also slightly softer.

Fig 1: USD/KRW & USD/CNH Trends

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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