March 12, 2025 18:37 GMT
AMERICAS OIL: WTI Crude is higher on the day amidst a weaker dollar
AMERICAS OIL
{US}{7i} March 12 - Americas End-of-Day Oil Summary: WTI Crude is higher on the day amidst a weaker dollar as the market also assesses increasing global trade friction and potential for further sanctions on Russia/Iran. However, sentiment is undermined by concerns around global demand, centered around the US and China, and rising OPEC+ output from April.
- President Sheinbaum said Wednesday that Mexico’s administration would wait to respond to the implementation of steel and aluminum tariffs until April 2. Canada is set to impose 25% retaliatory tariffs on C$29.8bn of US goods from March 13.
- OPEC has kept its 2025 world oil demand growth forecast stable at 1.45m b/d for 2025, according to their March Monthly Oil Market Report.
- EIA data showed that US crude inventories rose roughly in line with expectations by 1.45mbbl with an increase in refinery runs and drop in exports back to 3.29mbpd.
- US CPI came in below expectations: US CPI Feb’25 Unrounded % M/M (SA): Headline 0.216%; Core: 0.227% (0.446% prior mth)
- Ukraine has accepted a 30-day ceasefire proposal from the US but Russia has said that it will only approve it on its own terms and not the US terms. If it refuses, President Trump has threatened more sanctions and also tariffs on the country.
- Yemen's Houthis said it will resume attacks on commercial shipping transiting the Red Sea which will likely further deter transit through the region.
- Venezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro, speaking on state tv, said the country’s oil output averaged 1.058m b/d in February.
- The NOAA 6–14-day outlook is nominally bearish for heating demand through March 25 with below-normal conditions forecast in the West, but milder conditions expected in the eastern half of the continent. Elevated heating demand remains likely in PADDs 4 and 5, with below normal demand in most of PADDs 1-3.
- US cracks diverged, with diesel cracks lower after EIA data showed another weekly drop in implied demand. Gasoline cracks rose after a larger-than-expected decline in stocks, in part due to an increase in implied demand.
- WTI Apr futures were up 2.3% at $67.75
- WTI May futures were up 2.3% at $67.46
- RBOB Apr futures were up 2.1% at $2.15
- ULSD Apr futures were up 0.5% at $2.21
- US gasoline crack up 0.3$/bbl at 22.54$/bbl
- US ULSD crack down 1.2$/bbl at 24.98$/bbl
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