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WTI Futures Slide 1.6%, Copper Extends Pull Lower

COMMODITIES
  • Crude markets are falling today despite a larger than expected draw in US stocks, coupled with expectations of OPEC+ rolling over its voluntary cuts. Pressure comes from a bleaker demand outlook, emphasised by the ongoing backdrop of likely delays in Fed interest rate cuts.
  • Markets are looking ahead to the OPEC+ meeting June 2 where the group are widely expected to rollover current cuts into the second half of the year. OPEC+ members who have agreed to voluntary cuts totalling 2.2m b/d are discussing extending them until year-end, Reuters said, citing sources within the bloc.
  • WTI JUL 24 is down 1.6% at 77.99$/bbl at typing. The trend direction remains down, and the recovery from earlier in the week appears to be a correction - for now. A resumption of weakness would signal scope for a move towards $75.64, the Mar 11 low. Initial firm resistance to watch is at $83.63, the Apr 26 high.
  • A mixed picture for precious metals, whereby spot silver has declined 2.35%, once again unable to hold above the psychological $32 mark which has provided resistance across much of May. Gold is clinging on to a modest uptick on the session as the medium-term trend structure is bullish and the recent move down appears to be a correction that is allowing an overbought condition to unwind. Moving average studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting an uptrend.
  • Copper futures are extending the most recent strong reversal lower, declining 2.85% on Thursday and taking the late May reversal off the highs to near 10.5%. The contract has traded through the 20-day EMA, and this exposes the firmer support at 453.60, the 50-day EMA. A clear break of this average would suggest potential for a deeper retracement.
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