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WTI Options Volumes Significantly Weighted to Cover Upside Moves

OIL OPTIONS

WTI crude open options positions show significantly more cover to the upside than downside with risks to Russian output and potential for a recovery in Chinese demand.

  • Total aggregate WTI call open interest on both Nymex and ICE is currently 1.92m and put aggregate open interest is 768k contracts.
  • ICE WTI Jan 85$/bbl strike calls which expire next week on Dec 15 traded over 10k times yesterday.
  • The main upside call positions across all contracts out to Dec 2024 are at 90$/bbl and between 100$/bbl and 120$/bbl. The downside cover is mostly from 70$/bbl down to 55$/bbl.
  • The second month WTI skew drifted lower yesterday back to about 5.5% puts over calls. The skew had closed to about 3.5% on Dec 6 earlier this week. ATM implied volatility for the second month contract continues to edge higher up to nearly 49%.


Source: MNI / Bloomberg

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