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Year End Rate Cuts Rise Post-CPI, May Hike Slower to Recede

STIR FUTURES
  • Projected rate cuts later in the year rebound post data: Nov'23 cumulative -37.8bp (vs. -21.9bp earlier) to 4.449%, Dec'23 cumulative -57.2bp (vs. -38.7bp earlier) to 4.255%.
  • Implied front end rate hikes on the other hand are slower to recede: May'23 at 16.7bp (vs. 18.4bp pre-data), Jun'23 cumulative at 15.8bs (22.2bp earlier) at 4.984%. Fed Terminal currently at 5.005% in Jun'23.

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