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Yen Outperforms On Friday, As BoJ Comes Into View

JPY

The Japanese yen ended Friday's session the best performing G10 currency. The yen gained 0.49%, to finish last week at 149.66. We have tracked a little lower in the first part of trade today, last near 149.60. Earlier highs on Friday were around 150.40.

  • Whilst the technical picture remains bullish, current spot levels aren't too far from the 20-day EMA (149.46), while the 50-day sits at 147.91. On the upside, 151.09 is the next target, a Fibonacci projection point.
  • Yen benefited on Friday from a modest pull back in US yields, although most of this was seen at the front end of the curve (2yr down 4bps to 5.0%, 10yr to 4.835%, -1bps). Equity sentiment was mostly on the back foot in terms of the major US/EU indices. Early focus this week is likely to be on Israel's ground offensive into Gaza.
  • Locally, the local data calendar is quiet today, with focus on tomorrow's BOJ meeting the main near term focus.
  • The MNI policy term expects a higher YCC cap to feature heavily in terms of BOJ discussions, but doesn't any expect tweaks at this meeting (see this link for more details).

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