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Yield level remains the focus

BTP
  • All the peripheral spreads are tighter this morning, with Italy (BTP) in the lead, by 3.6bps.
  • BTP/Bund spread has tightened close to 10bps this week, after it traded at the widest level since July 2020 on Monday.
  • Main driver has been the outperformance of the BTP, after the contract found a base at the 2% high yield level, printed a 2.01% high yesterday.
  • In terms of technical for IKH2, upside resistance will be seen at the 139.84/140.24 gap (8th/9th February).
  • In yield terms, support is at 1.811% (23.6% retrace of the Feb rally), and this reference 139.59 would equate to 140.21
  • Further upside momentum will eye that gap and yield area for potential paying flows.

Chart source: Bloomberg

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