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USD/ZAR Flips to Overbought as Risk-Off, Local Factors Drive ZAR Weakness

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades +0.38% higher this morning, broadly tracking early upside in the BBDXY as USD strength remains a dominant market theme.
  • US equities sold off sharply on Friday, weighing on risk-proxy ZAR which also suffered under extensive flood damage in KZN and a grim load-shedding outlook ahead of winter.
  • Local focus is on the 4th state capture report focused on Eskom, the Treasury & Free State asbestos scandal – which could further bury Ramaphosa’s political rival Magashule.
  • ZAR fell 6% vs the greenback last week as a confluence of factors hit the currency. USD/ZAR has now flipped from oversold to overbought with the first notable support seen at 15.3948.
  • SA’s terms of trade remain supportive, but notably around 24% below the March highs.
  • PPI & Trade balance data will be eyed this week. Intraday Sup1: 15.5194, Sup2: 15.3948, Res1: 15.7331, Res2: 15.7657, Res3: 15.9379
  • SA Terms of Trade


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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