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10Y Real Yield: Turkey, Czech Republic And China At The Bottom Of The League

EMERGING MARKETS
  • Despite the sharp upside retracement in LT bond yields in the CEE region amid surging inflation risks, Czech 10Y real yield still remains at historical lows (-7.1%).
  • Czech Republic currently offers the second lowest 10Y real yield among the EM world after Turkey, where the inflation rate has surged to 54.4%.
    • The CRBT decided to keep its 1W repo rate unchanged last week despite surging inflation and TRY weakness, mostly impacted by the Russia/Ukraine conflict.
  • Despite the deceleration in PPI inflation in recent months, China (PPI-adjusted) offers the third lowest 10Y real yield (-6%) as LT bond yields keep trading at low levels due to the market uncertainty.
  • At the top of the league, Indonesia remains the EM economy offering the highest 10Y real yield (+4.6%), shortly following by South Africa (+4.3%). (We leave Russia out of the league due to the pricing uncertainty).
  • The chart below ranks the 10Y real yields among the most liquid EM economies, adjusted by CPI inflation.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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