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2Y GoC Yields Back Above Post GDP Beat Levels

CANADA
  • GoCs hold the cheapening seen on the open except for the very long end, bear flattening on the day as the front end underperforms Treasuries.
  • 2YY sit +4.3bps (Tsys +2.5bps) at 4.257% to hold above yesterday’s post-GDP beat highs, which were subsequently hit by mixed but ultimately dovish US factors.
  • The S&P Global mfg PMI is the only domestic data left this week, which ticked up from 48.6 to 50.2 in April but has broadly trended sideways since August. Spillover from US labor data and ISM mfg today are likely more significant.
  • Later on, Canada sells $5B of the 3.25% Sep 2028 after yesterday’s low b/c for the 2Y. GoC 5s currently only marginally underperform Tsys.

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