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2Y GoCs Pare Outperformance

CANADA
  • Front GoC yields continue to push higher vs the petering out of the sell-off seen in Treasuries.
  • It limits some of the particularly large outperformance seen earlier in the session, which started long before the U.Mich survey with its strong inflation expectations and then continued with it.
  • The 2Y yield differential still widens 3bps on the day though to -47.5bps back towards the middle of the week’s range but beyond that at levels last seen in April.
  • The outperformance is seen in rates space as well. 3M CORRA futures are unchanged showing a peak implied yield of 5.07% for low odds of further tightening, but 2024 cuts on a Z3/Z4 basis have been cut to 65bps for what would currently be the lowest close since Oct 31.

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