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5Y Real US Yields Drop Through 1%, Boosting Rate-Sensitive Assets

CROSS ASSET

Once again it's real yields making up most of the Treasury rally following weaker-than-expected data (see yesterday's post-JOLTS note).

  • 5Y nominal yields are down 7bp, accounted for by 5bp in real yields and 2bp in breakevens, as Fed monetary easing is increasingly priced in.
  • 5Y TIPS are currently yielding 0.995%, down about 90bp since the SVB debacle started - this would be the first sub-1% close since mid-September 2021.
  • Real yield-sensitive assets like gold stand to continue benefiting (eg see note 15 minutes ago, "Gold Eyes MNI Tech Resistance").

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