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Free AccessA$ Back Above 0.6600, Lower US Yields/NZD Bounce Help, AU Retail Sales Due Today
AUD/USD was dragged higher late in NY/early Asia Pac trade, as NZD spiked on hawkish comments from RBNZ Chief Economist Conway. AUD/USD got to 0.6616, not too far off Jan 24 highs just above 0.6620. We sit slightly lower in latest dealings, close to 0.6610. This leaves AUD a little over 0.50% firmer for Monday's session, only bettered by NZD in the G10 space.
- Much like NZD, we aren't too far away from important resistance levels for AUD/USD. The 50-day EMA is at 0.6627, with the 20-day also very close to this level (0.6630). Still, the broader technical backdrop remains bearish for now.
- Cross asset sentiment for AUD was positive in Monday trade from a yield standpoint, with US Tsy yields lower across the board as the US lowered its Q1 borrowing estimate. Equity sentiment was higher in US markets.
- AUD/EUR broke above 0.6100, as EUR underperformed. Early Jan highs come in around 0.6200 for the pair.
- Commodity indices were lower, as oil prices fell. Iron ore is down a touch, last near $135/ton, but copper was higher.
- On the data front today we have Dec retail sales. The market looks for pay back from the Nov bounce (fueled by sales). The consensus is for a -1.7% drop, +2.0% was prior.
- In the option expiry space, note the following for NY cut later: 0.6640 (276mln).
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.