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Free AccessA fairly modest start to the week...>
US TSYS SUMMARY: A fairly modest start to the week for the US Treasury market.
The 10Y UST yield is 1bp lower relative to Friday's NY close and is currently
2.855%. The 5-7Y section of the yield curve is leading the move lower in yields
with a 1.5bp decline.
- The 10Y Bund-Tsy spread has moderated to 220bp, having been close to multi
decade highs at the back end of last week.
- Futures contract flows are being inflated by heavy contract roll activity.
First notice the contracts is Wednesday and most contracts have around 50% of
rolls done.
- Summing along all US contracts, the Commitment of Traders Report showed that
the net levered position is now at its largest ever at a massive $259bln of 10Y
equivalents. Most of the recent levered shorts have been implemented in the
euro$ contracts.
- This week's main event in the US Treasury market is the new Fed Chair's first
Testimony on the Hill, which takes place on Tuesday. There is no coupon supply
this week.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.