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A Little Firmer Alongside Global Peers

US TSYS

Tsys rally a little on UK CPI data.

  • Yields 1.5-2.0bp lower across the curve after cash markets were closed in Asia hours owing to a Japanese holiday.
  • TYM4 ticks further away from the support zone that was tested/pierced on Monday, last +0-04 at 110-08+.
  • Contract sticks to a narrow 0-06 range, on below average volume of ~180K (turnover limited by Japanese holiday/cash closure in Asia).
  • Yesterday’s high has been breached, first resistance is located at the 20-day EMA (110-24).
  • FOMC-dated OIS shows ~17bp of cuts through June, ~27bp of cuts through July and ~74bp of total ’24 cuts.
  • The latter has moved back towards the Fed’s existing median “dot” for the end of ’24 (75bp).
  • The SEP and dot plot will be updated alongside today’s FOMC decision, click for our full preview of that event.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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