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A Soft Landing Friendly Ivey PMI

CANADA DATA
  • The Ivey PMI jumped from 49.3 to 60.1 in January, pushing its highest level since May and offering hopes of a soft landing as prices softened (from 67.5 to 63.6, lowest since Sep’2020).
  • Ahead of Friday’s employment report, the employment index increased 1pt to 60.5, back where it was in November and otherwise last seen in June.
  • Whilst a typically volatile report, note that Ivey have corrected for a seasonal adjustment error: “Of note, there was error in the seasonal adjustment calculations for the period of November 2020 to December 2022, where the multiplicative inverse of the seasonal adjustment factors was used. The historical data was revised on February 6, 2023, and a process has been implemented to validate seasonal adjustment calculations for the Ivey PMI.“


Source: Ivey Business School

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