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Free AccessANZ Business Confidence Improves After RBNZ Moves To Neutral
The ANZ business confidence index rose to -18 in June from -31.1, the highest since November 2021, signalling that firms tentatively feel that the worst is behind them. This follows the RBNZ moving to a neutral stance. The activity outlook moved into positive territory at +2.7 from -4.5 the previous month, best result since April 2022.
- Inflation expectations eased further to 5.3% from 5.5%, which should reassure the RBNZ re its policy shift but the price/cost measures need to continue falling. Pricing intentions continued to moderate slowly falling to 49.3 from 52.4, but remained elevated, with a net 64% of retailers expecting to increase prices within 3 months. Costs are expected to rise more than prices though. Wage expectations eased to 80.2 from 84.
- But capacity pressures rose with employment improving to -3.5 from -5.7 and capacity utilisation to +4.3 from -1.2. Employment was higher versus a year ago. Investment intentions rose to their highest since October.
- Exports were weaker at -1.8 from +2.0, signalling a slowdown in global demand.
Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv
NZ ANZ business price/cost measures
Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv
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Why MNI
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