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ANZ have changed their RBA call and now.........>

RBA
RBA: ANZ have changed their RBA call and now expect two 25bp cuts to the cash
rate in July and August this year, which would bring the rate to 0.75%. The
previous call was for reaching the same level by November.
- ANZ's economist David Plank comments: "It is our expectation that the
combination of lower interest rates, a much flatter yield curve (driven in part
by the forward guidance the RBA is already effectively providing), a lower AUD
and tax cuts will provide the boost the economy needs to get back onto a growth
path that will push the unemployment rate lower."
- Yesterday's speech from RBA Gov Lowe was read as a clearly dovish signal, with
Lowe stating that it is "not unreasonable" to expect further easing. The
governor will speak again next week.
- Implied probability of a 25bp cut to the cash rate at the next RBA policy
meeting on July 2 is now ~82%, as per BBG WIRP tool.

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