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(Z1) Still Climbing


(Z1) Fresh Trend High


E-MINI S&P (Z1): Approaching The All-Time High

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  • US long-term bond yields have been surging in the past week following Fed's 'hawkish' signals last week, with policymakers now clearly expecting to announce a taper at the next meeting in November, with the process ending in mid-2022.
  • US 10Y yield is up over 20bps in the past week, breaking above the 1.50% level this week.
  • Interestingly, the recent spike in US bond yields have not led to an outperformance of value stocks (relative to growth stocks).
  • This chart shows that higher LT bonds yields have historically been associated with an outperformance of value stocks over growth stocks (and vice versa).
  • Hence, further upside pressure on LT US Treasury yields could eventually lead to a sudden rally in value stocks.