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Asia Fuel Margins Expecting Another Record in 2023: Rystad

REFINING

Profits from refining in Asia are expecting another record year according to Rystad Energy.

  • The EU ban on Russian petroleum products starting early next month is expected to squeeze the supply of fuels such as diesel making buyers more reliant on Asia.
  • Cheap crude from Russian following crude sanctions in December are providing an additional boost to profit margins for refiners in China and India.
  • “Asian refineries will have a good 2023,” said Mukesh Sahdev of Rystad Energy. “They will be well-supplied on crude, and they can capitalize on” the loss of Russian oil products to the US and Europe, he added.
  • Singapore’s refinery hydrocracking margin over Dubai crude averaged a record 16.50$/bbl last year in data going back to 2015. Margins could be strong for four to five years on rising fuel demand and as investment in new refineries plateaus, Sahdev said.
  • Global oil demand will grow by 1.9mbpd this year with Asia accounting for 1.5m according to Rystad.

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